weâve never seen them exercise this close to a changeover period. The other elements are remnants from the downsized Golan Task Groupâthe Third Armored and Tenth and Eleventh Mechanized. On the upside, the Darâa Task Group isnât involved; all its units are accounted for.â
âPretty big exercise,â said Talbot. âThey moving in any particular direction?â
âItâs early yet, but it doesnât look like it. We have no idea about the mission or duration, but it matches previous exercise profiles, if a little larger. The other interesting thing is the commander in charge: General Issam al-Khatib.â
âHow do you know heâs in charge?â
âHe was at the site.â
âSo?â
âWe photographed him.â
Both the president and Talbot glanced up in amazement.
âKhatib was formerly in charge of the Saraya and Difa Defense Companies, about twenty-five thousand special forces soldiers, until it was re-formed into Unit five sixty-nine, ostensibly a regular armored and mechanized group,â Mason said. âHeâs also part of Assadâs inner circle, fanatically loyal, and an Alawite to boot.â
âAlawite?â said Talbot.
âAssadâs religious sect,â Mason explained. âItâs a Muslim minority group, but it has key members in positions of power in both the government and the military. After Khatib left the defense companies, we lost track of him for a year. There were rumors he was attached to Air Force intelligence, which handles terrorist liaison: recruitment, training, supply, that sort of thing.â
âIs that significant?â asked the president
âMaybe, if itâs true. Like his father, Bashar Assad has always placed someone from his inner circle in those kinds of roles. It could have been nothing more than a career builder. At any rate, wherever Khatib was, heâs in the desert now.â
The president said, âSo, bottom line?â
Mason paused. His boss wanted a prediction. Like most laypeople, the president didnât recognize the difference between capabilities and intentions. In the intelligence community the rule was: Never talk about intentions; talk about capabilities. Talk about what the enemy can do if he decides to do it. Intentions were, after all, products of the human brain, which is an unpredictable organ at best
Mason smiled, spread his hands. âSyria is conducting a military exercise.â
The president smiled. âOkay. Jim, any statements from Syria?â
âNo, Mr. Presidentâ
âLetâs let âem know weâre curious. Have State handle it and do it quick, before the Israelis get nervous. Dick, your boys will be paying close attention, I assume?â
âWeâve retasked the bird to include the exercise area in the Golan sweep.â
âGood. Anything else?â
âOne thing, sir. SYMMETRY.â
âThe Beirut operation.â
âYes.â Mason briefly explained their loss of Marcus.
âDamn it! How in hell does something like this happen!â
âIt just does, sir. Not often, but it does happen. Especially in Beirutâ
âSo Iâve heard. What are we doing?â
âWeâve ordered the network to go quiet and weâre working the product. Maybe Marcus was onto something we missed. Also, weâre checking OpSecââ
âOpSec?â asked Talbot.
âOperational security. That includes all the communication and cover procedures we had in place: dead letter drops, safe-call locations. As far as who took him, weâre stumped. No ransom, no body ⦠nothing. No one is taking credit for it, either. That worries me. Usually, they canât wait to let the world know theyâve snatched someone.â
âSuppose this isnât a routine kidnapping. Suppose somebody took him for a reason,â Talbot said. âWhat then?â
âIf theyâve