all the combined aid given to fifty-three African countries between 1957 and 1990 into just one country, South Korea. Some have alleged that this is the kind of financial lift that Africa will need; essentially an equivalent of its own Marshall Plan.
Advocates of aid argue that aid works – it’s just that richer countries have not given enough of it. They argue that with a ‘big push’ – a substantial increase in aid targeted at key investments – Africa can escape its persistent poverty trap; that what Africa needs is more aid, much more aid, in massive amounts. Only then will things start to truly get better.
In 2000, 189 countries signed up to the Millennium Development Goals (MDG). 8 The eight-point action plan was aimed at health, education, environmental sustainability, child mortality, and alleviating poverty and hunger. In 2005, the programme was costed. An additional aid boost of US$130 billion a year would be needed to achieve the MDG in a number of countries. Two years after the MDG pledge the United Nations held an international conference on Financing for Development in Monterrey, Mexico, where donors promised to increase their aid contributions from anaverage of 0.25 per cent of their GNP to 0.7 per cent, in the belief that this additional US$200 billion annually would finally address Africa’s continuing problems. In practice, most of the donor pledges have gone unmet and proponents of aid have latched on to this failure to meet the pledged commitments as a reason for why Africa has been held back. But the big-push thinking brushes over one of the underlying problems of aid, that it is fungible – that monies set aside for one purpose are easily diverted towards another; not just any other purpose, but agendas that can be worthless, if not detrimental, to growth. Proponents of aid themselves have acknowledged that unconstrained aid flows always face the danger of being egregiously consumed rather than invested; of going into private pockets, instead of the public purse. When this happens, as it so often does, no real punishments or sanctions are ever imposed. So more grants mean more graft.
One of the most depressing aspects of the whole aid fiasco is that donors, policymakers, governments, academicians, economists and development specialists know, in their heart of hearts, that aid doesn’t work, hasn’t worked and won’t work. Commenting on at least one aid donor, the Chief Economist at the British Department of Trade and Industry remarked that ‘they know its crap, but it sells the T-shirts’. 9
Study, after study, after study (many of them, the donors’ own) have shown that, after many decades and many millions of dollars, aid has had no appreciable impact on development. For example, Clemens et al. (2004) concede no long-term impact of aid on growth. Hadjimichael (1995) and Reichel (1995) find a negative relationship between savings and aid. Boone (1996) concludes that aid has financed consumption rather than investment; and foreign aid was shown to increase unproductive public consumption and fail to promote investment.
Even the
most
cursory look at data suggests that as aid has increased over time, Africa’s growth has decreased with an accompanying higher incidence of poverty. Over the past thirty years, the most aid-dependent countries have exhibited growth rates averaging
minus
0.2 per cent per annum.
For most countries, a direct consequence of the aid-driven interventions has been a dramatic descent into poverty. Whereas prior to the 1970s most economic indicators had been on an upward trajectory, a decade later Zambia lay in economic ruin. Bill Easterly, a New York University professor and former World Bank economist, notes that had Zambia converted all the aid it had received since 1960 into investment, and all of that investment to growth, it would have had a per capita GDP of about US$20,000 by the early 1990s. 10 Instead, Zambia’s per capita GDP was lower than in 1960,
Chet Williamson, Neil Jackson
Yvonne K. Fulbright Danielle Cavallucci